What recent news really means for engineering jobs in Australia

Iron Ore price may have jumped, but the  big picture 

offers less cause for confidence. 

Recent surges in iron ore prices may be a comfort to some, but before anyone starts getting too excited, they should look to the wider view and the inevitability of long term decline in need from China.

This month the news is good. A 6.7% jump resulting from news of approvals in Chinese Infrastructure projects. It’s enough to put the price back over $100 a tonne, which though well short of the $150 high, is at least over the recent $90 level.

There remains however, an inevitable truth to be faced. China’s economy is shifting. As the Chinese population starts to consume more of its own products, rather than relying on external markets for exports, its need for steel and the raw materials used to produce it, will drop and drop.

Steel futures in Shanghai are dropping as we speak. While China continues to overproduce steel, the $150bn in approved projects will not be enough to build confidence in future need. Only cuts in production at Chinese steel mills will stabilize the price.

But in a market that’s seriously fragmented who’s going to do that? Who’s going to compromise their market share? And what are the state run facilities going to do about the jobs it will cost? The answer is that everyone is going to hope for a solution somewhere else in the supply chain.

Today Fortescue will ask lenders to waive debt covenants. As the world’s fourth largest iron ore producer, the company is suffering severely from the weak demand in China, its largest market. Fortescue has avoided raising equity capital, hoping instead for a rebound in commodity prices.  

Meanwhile, confusion reigns in India. In Goa, ‘serious illegalities and irregularities’ in mining operations have led to a freeze in production, as New Delhi continues to seek drops in exports to fulfill domestic need. India’s exports to China have dropped significantly – by 40% April - June.

So what does all this mean for the Australia mining job market? Time will tell, but the outlook is not immediately positive. It is the demand for minerals that has protected the Australian economy from the worst of the global financial crisis. But the fall in commodity prices, the closure of mines and - most significantly for engineers – the postponement and cancellation of expansion plans, will start to pull this protective blanket off the national economy.

The good news is that not everything is about mining projects.  Demand for engineers on LNG projects remains strong and our clients have continued to seek talent for ongoing expansion. As one door closes another one opens.

But there is a truth to face here – China will not be the magical bodyguard of the Australian economy forever. 

Never mind Lara and the tourists, where the bloody hell are the engineers?

Lara Bingle enticed tourists to Australia in 
the famous ad

So the papers are all up in arms this week over the defection of Lara Bingle, the model who promoted Australian tourism in the famous and sometimes controversial  ‘Where the bloody hell are you?’ ad.

Lara’s talents, it seems, are for sale to the highest bidder. In this case New Zealand. Fair enough; the woman is a professional, let her take work wherever she can find it. The job market for models, like any other profession, is international.

I don’t think we’re suffering too much. Six million tourists visited our shores over the last year, a 0.5% increase on the previous year. Considering the economic state of the countries that yield a lot of our tourism dollars, we should be glad of these numbers. Especially while Europe is still frantically searching under the sofa for its lost credit card, and the Americans are on self imposed lock down.

Let’s face the fact that tourism is far less of an issue right now than encouraging the right number of high skilled migrants to move here for long term temporary assignments and fill some empty Australian engineering jobs.

Australia will become the world's biggest liquefied natural gas producer, by 2020 as it unlocks its 100 year reserves. Analysts predict it will soon overtake current leader Qatar.

Seventy percent of the world's 10 major LNG projects are under construction here and billions are being spent on infrastructure year on year.

The biggest threat to achieving this growth and all the benefits that come with it is people. We don’t have the engineering skills in the quantity we need them in house and we need to look overseas for them now. We need to look to the UK and Europe to build our engineering workforces and absorb the key skills into the Australian population in greater numbers.  

So if you see Lara, tell her to find a drawing board and a hard hat and make Australian engineering jobs sound sexy and exciting. Australia may need her yet. 

High Demand and Low Supply leaves only Four Options for the Australia Job Market

It’s nice to be the centre of attention when the news is good. Australia is leading the world in job growth. Payrolls rose by just over 46,000 last month, the most since November 2010, compared with a median estimate for an increase of 10,000 in a recent Bloomberg News survey.

Full time jobs are up 12,300 in January, and part-time employment jumped 34,000. Overall participation rates – showing the number of eligible workers in gainful employment – also rose.

This growth is being driven by demand minerals and natural resources from the world’s two fastest growing economies – India and China who between them house a third of the world’s population. Bloomberg also reports that Oil & Gas salaries are up 17% to an average of $165,000 as the various developers fight to staff the eight major LNG ventures currently under construction. 

Australia now has to face the secondary challenge – filling these jobs with relevantly skilled people. Urgent vacancies and unemployed workers do not merge seamlessly to form a perfect whole. That’s not how the job market works.

We need sources of relevant workers, mostly in the engineering and technical sector - where most of these jobs came from and where most of the empty vacancies are building up.

Logically, there are four things that can happen:

1. Australian engineering jobs can be done in Australia by local workforces
2. Work can be shipped out of Australia
3. People can be shipped into Australia
4. The work can be left undone

As the world turns its eyes to Australia’s recent job market growth, we should focus our own energies on making sure the talent we need is available so that the demand is met with supply.

There is no quick fix, but there are things we have to do to build a stronger base for the future. Demand will remain high for a long time and that means opportunity for those leaving school right now to choose careers in engineering.

We also need to focus on training so that we can keep the necessary foreign skills that come into the country here, once overseas temporary workers are gone.

Right now, it’s time to bring the right people in to capitalize on the overall opportunity the growth offers.




Trevor Burne is Managing Director of Talascend. He blogs about Australian engineering jobs, and issues affecting Australian Engineers.